A little snow in the Sierra, +2.7 most impressive

November 3, 2015Uncategorized+ 2.7, Sierra snowadmin

November 03, 2015

A sign of the changing season as well a sign that rare moisture is beginning to arrive in the still parched Sierra Nevada. First picture at 11:23 am looks foggy but look closely and you can see the snowflakes against the gray sky.

The next picture looks like 2:43pm, over three hours later, and you can see the accumulation on the conifers.

Thanks to the Yosemite Conservancy for their many windows into this extraordinary park. This is the sentinel dome view with a camera elevation near 7500 feet.

The weekly sea surface temperature anomalies in the 3.4 Niño region of the Pacific continue to be impressive, especially when compared to 1997. The most recent reading of +2.7 is the warmest weekly value since December 1997, when that event was near its peak. October weekly values averaging +2.5 will most certainly have an effect the more complex three month running average.

07OCT2015        29.1 +2.4                             08OCT1997     29.2 +2.6
14OCT2015         29.1 +2.4                             15OCT1997     29.2 +2.5
21OCT2015         29.2 +2.5                             22OCT1997     29.3 +2.6
28OCT2015       29.4 + 2.7                             29OCT1997    29.2 +2.6

average 2.50 average 2.58

The most recent posting from the Climate Prediction center and the weekly expert discussion. Weekly numbers for 1997 and 2015 run along the side. When I published the book the weekly reading in the 3.4 Niño region was +1.7. A month later updates were made to include weekly anomaly reading of +2.4. This posting shows +2.7 in the 3.4 Niño region.

I present all this to impress you with the fact, that we are all in serious trouble. The 20 inch floods of October were not just a spell of bad weather. They are the product of a periodic oceanographic and meteorological worldwide teleconnection otherwise known as El Niño. The numbers presented above illustrate our current event, 2015, is as strong as 1997 and still growing.

Learn more in my latest e-book El Niño: The WILD side of the weather cycle…
What we know, what we don’t, and WHY you should care!

I show how this years Pacific water temperatures compare to the 1982 and 1997 events and highlight the kind of weather episodes that these stronger El Niño’s tend to bring.

If you like the blog you will love the book.

Available at Amazon

Wild Bill

Three historic 20 inch flood events in the last 5 weekends

November 2, 2015Uncategorizedhistoric 20 inch rain eventsadmin

November 02, 2015

In theory, the most significant impacts from El Niño can be expected across North America during the winter months. So, three historic 20 inch rain events in the 5 weekends of October seems a little excessive. Display below shows Texas rainfall for the last 8 or 9 days actually, although the label says 14 days. The white shading south of Dallas is associated with the 20 inch rains related to Patricia over a week ago. The white shading south of Austin combines Patricia rains with what happen Friday morning to give another area of 20 inch totals for the 8 or 9 days. And more white shading near Houston, much of that fell Friday night into Saturday morning.

During the last two weekends of the month it has been Texas and Louisiana underwater, but back at the beginning of the month it was South Carolina. Check out the 30 day totals for October, four different areas with rainfall totals in excess of 20 inches.

In the spirit of two sides to every story, the positive impact of the recent floods in Texas is drought relief. Much like California, parts of Texas have also been immersed in a long term drought. After the big May floods, Texas went back to a super dry hot summer. But notice how the deep reds, illustrating dryness in these frames, just disappears from Texas and Louisiana in just a week.

The great California hope is that El Niño will do the same for the Golden State.

Learn more in my latest e-book El Niño: The WILD side of the weather cycle…
What we know, what we don’t, and WHY you should care!

I show how this years Pacific water temperatures compare to the 1982 and 1997 events and highlight the kind of weather episodes that these stronger El Niño’s tend to bring.

If you like the blog you will love the book.

Available at Amazon

Wild Bill

Same Texas rivers, same Texas towns, inches of rain

October 31, 2015UncategorizedBlanco River Texas, extreme flash floodsadmin

October 31, 2015

Same Texas rivers, same Texas towns, inches of rain, as extreme flash floods try to erase years of drought. Months apart, and on the opposite sides of summer, yet even in this simple comparison, the similarities are unmistakable. If it wasn’t for the small differences in the satellite picture you might think I repeated the same maps.

Briefly, on both surface maps, a warm front over north Texas, a surface high pressure area centered near West Virginia. On the upper charts, the event driving upper low over southwest centered near the four corners, a warm ridge over Florida, and some other vortex up over New England.

May 23, 2015 Overnight flash floods on the Blanco River Texas claim several lives.

October 30, 2015 Flash floods return not only to Central Texas, but to the same river basins as the May flash flood.

from this blog October 22, 2015:

“Olaf and now Patricia are currently hurricanes in the Pacific. Both of these tropical systems may have some influence on the U.S. The above example shows how a direct hit is not necessary to inflict great damage.”

Patricia’s influence on Texas flooding a week ago was pretty obvious, Olaf’s contribution this week is a little more convoluted. But if you trace the disturbance back a few days, it is related to the decay of Olaf’s tropical circulation.

Below shows Patricia coming across Mexico, Olaf east of Hawaii, about one week ago.

Not related, and on the other side of the world, but since I brought it up in the last blog here is an update on the one tropical systems going currently.

Category 4, 140mph, Cyclone Chapala in the Arabian sea on October 30, 2015.

There is something going on somewhere everyday and El Niño is making it crazier as time goes by.

Learn more in my latest e-book El Niño: The WILD side of the weather cycle…
What we know, what we don’t, and WHY you should care!

I show how this years Pacific water temperatures compare to the 1982 and 1997 events and highlight the kind of weather episodes that the stronger El Niño’s tend to bring.

If you like the blog you will love the book.

Available at Amazon

Wild Bill

El Niño continues to grow stronger

October 30, 2015Uncategorizedadmin

October 29, 2015

The newest weekly Pacific sea surface temperatures have been posted. It is only a tenth of a degree increase, but a weekly anomaly of +2.5 for the week of October 21, 2015 means we continue to trail 1997 by the smallest amount. Another warm week also means October has been a warm month, when October’s monthly temperature average is included into the ONI, it will increase. Our event continues to grow stronger.

07OCT2015      29.1 2.4                                08OCT1997     29.2 2.6
14OCT2015      29.1 2.4                               15OCT1997     29.2   2.5
21OCT2015    29.2   2.5                             22OCT1997     29.3 2.6

In the wake of Patricia and Olaf, much of the tropical world is quiet. No disturbances in the Pacific or the Atlantic, unusually quiet for the record season we have just experienced. Just one lonely tropical disturbance in the unlikely location of the Arabian Sea.

A tropical storm forecast to become a Category 3 hurricane and then move into Yemen on the Saudi Arabian Peninsula.Water temperatures in Arabian Sea and the Indian Ocean remain above normal despite El Niño .

The El Niño warming is along the Equator, the dark shading illustrates the +2.5 anomaly stretching across many miles of warm Equatorial waters. The deep red stretching along the west coast of North America is a little bit of a wild card for the upcoming season. As discussed in El Niño: The WILD side of the weather cycle, the presents of the warm water could build a ridge, much like the last four years. But it could also feed numerous Pacific storms with abundant moisture like we have rarely seen in recent years.

The Pacific jet stream is already showing signs of a seasonal change to stronger and more active. So fasten your seatbelts this is really going to get wild. What we have seen in October, the 1000 year flood in South Carolina, Utah flash floods, California highways buried in mud, the strongest hurricane, this is all just the beginning. El Niño greatest influence is during the Northern Hemisphere winter. And winter is just around the corner. Actually feels like winter today in Michigan and Wisconsin.

Learn more in my latest e-book El Niño: The WILD side of the weather cycle…
What we know, what we don’t, and WHY you should care!

I show how this years Pacific water temperatures compare to the 1982 and 1997 events and highlight the kind of weather events that the stronger El Niño events tend to bring.

If you like the blog you will love the book.

Available at Amazon

Wild Bill

Patricia… Highest wind, Most rapid intensification

October 24, 2015Uncategorized100mb in 24 hours, 200mphadmin

October 24, 2015

Hurricane Patricia has been crowned the strongest tropical system worldwide in terms of top winds, since 1970, when the satellite era began. Hurricane Patricia is the only storm with posted sustained winds of 200mph. Also, reconnaissance measured 200 mph winds. Winds in excess of 200mph were measured in two separate flights 11 hours apart.

MAX OUTBOUND AND MAX FL WIND 192 KT 053 / 3 NM 06:47:10Z

MAX OUTBOUND AND MAX FL WIND 192 KT 125 / 8 NM 17:40:49Z

A quick review of what is considered the strongest storms in term of sustained wind. Pressure and basin information added for comparison.

Patricia2015,… 175knots, 200mph, 883mb dropsonde, 879mb estimate Northeast Pacific

Haiyan2013, … 170 knots, 195mph, 895mb satellite estimate Northwest Pacific

Allen 1980, … 165knots, 190mph, 899mb dropsonde North Atlantic

Tip 1979, … 165knots, 190mph, 870mb satellite estimate Northwest Pacific

Hurricane Patricia also set the record for intensification rate in a tropical system.

Hurricane Wilma did hold the record for pressure fall rate.

97mb in Hurricane Wilma in 24 hours

72mb in Hurricane Gilbert, September 1988 was previous record to Wilma.

100mb in Hurricane Wilma in 30 hours has rarely been approached.

24 hour comparison looking at the most recent Patricia numbers from actual National Hurricane Center Advisory.

======================================================================

400 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015

…PATRICIA CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN…
…LIKELY TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE LATER TODAY…

LOCATION…14.3N 102.3W
ABOUT 255 MI…410 KM S OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO
ABOUT 350 MI…565 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…85 MPH…140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 17 MPH…28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB…28.94 INCHES

400 AM CDT FRI OCT 23 2015

…PATRICIA…
…THE STRONGEST EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE ON RECORD…
…POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC LANDFALL IN SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO LATER
TODAY…

LOCATION…17.0N 105.5W
ABOUT 160 MI…255 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 235 MI…380 KM S OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…200 MPH…325 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 12 MPH…19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…880 MB…25.99 INCHES

400 AM CDT THU OCT 22 2015 980 MB

400 AM CDT FRI OCT 23 2015 880 MB

So, … the New record for pressure fall rate in tropical systems established by Patricia is:

100mb in 24 hours, Wilma did 97mb in 2005, Gilbert did 72mb in 1988.

114mb in 30 hours, Wilma did 100mb.

—————————————————————————————————————–

So, …Patricia… highest wind … 200mph.

Most rapid intensification, … 100mb in 24 hours,

Beat the incredible Wilma, 97mb in 2005.

Speaking of Wilma, … 10 years ago, … October 24, 2005, 1132utc

Learn more in my latest e-book El Niño: The WILD side of the weather cycle…
What we know, what we don’t, and WHY you should care!

Available at Amazon

Wild Bill

Hurricane Patricia tropical storm to Category 5 in 24 hours.

October 23, 2015UncategorizedCategory 5, Jalisco, Sierra Madre del Suradmin

October 23, 2015

Hurricane Patricia went from a tropical storm to a Category 5 hurricane in 24 hours. The Hurricane’s intensification rate is comparable only to Hurricane Wilma and Hurricane Gilbert, two of the mightiest Atlantic Category 5’s. More on specific numbers toward the end of today’s blog.

First, …. this monster is going to slam Mexico TODAY, Friday October 23, 2015

Only the strongest storms reach Category 5 intensity, even fewer make landfall at CATEGORY 5. All this is very bad for a small part of Mexico.

One of the strongest, largest tropical systems ever in the eastern Pacific running square into the Sierra Madre del Sur is a recipe for some incredible catastrophic event. On the map below the state of Jalisco is shaded white and also lies near the expected landfall. Puerto Vallarta of course is near sea level. Guadalajara lies near 5000 feet in elevation. The mountains in Jalisco reach from 9600 to 13000 feet. These mountains will tear up the tropical circulation but they will take a quite beating in the process.

Expected track Thursday evening State of Jalisco

Below is the Category 5 Advisory followed by the 179 knot Advisory

——————————————————————————————————–

1000 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015

…POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC HURRICANE PATRICIA TURNING TOWARD
SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO…

LOCATION…16.2N 105.1W
ABOUT 200 MI… SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 295 MI… S OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…160 MPH…
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 10 MPH…
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…924 MB…27.29 INCHES

————————————————————————————————————-

1230 AM CDT FRI OCT 23 2015

…CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE PATRICIA STRENGTHENS EVEN MORE…
…POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC LANDFALL IN SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO LATER
TODAY…

LOCATION…16.5N 105.3W
ABOUT 185 MI…295 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 270 MI…435 KM S OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...185 MPH…295 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 10 MPH…17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…892 MB…26.34 INCHES

…185MPH…, 892 MB, and in the image below, the gray on top of the red around the center, all signs of the strongest of storms. Landfall within 24 hours of reaching this state again, “a recipe for catastrophe”.

Color IR above to show intensity. Visible below to show size of cloud mass

Two significant hurricanes at the same time in the central and eastern Pacific in late October is a continuing sign of the unusually warm ocean waters associated with our current El Niño.

A look at 24 hour changes 1000 PM Advisory to 1000 PM Advisory

————————————————————————————————————————

1000 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015

…PATRICIA EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY THURSDAY MORNING…

LOCATION…13.5N 100.5W
ABOUT 240 MI…385 KM S OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
ABOUT 455 MI…735 KM SE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…65 MPH…
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 MPH…
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…994 MB…29.36 INCHES

————————————————————————————————————————

1000 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015

…POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC HURRICANE PATRICIA TURNING TOWARD
SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO…

LOCATION…16.2N 105.1W
ABOUT 200 MI… SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 295 MI… S OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…160 MPH…
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 10 MPH…
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…924 MB…27.29 INCHES

————————————————————————–

in 24 hours:

1000 PM CDT WED OCT 21 2015 to 1000 PM CDT THU OCT 22 2015

…65 MPH… to …160 MPH… increase of 95mph in 24 hours

…994 MB… to …924 MB… decrease of 70mb in 24 hours

Not sure about Eastern Pacific specifics, Hurricane Center when discussing Patricia rapid intensification points to,

“This is a remarkable feat, with only Linda of 1997 intensifying at this rate in the satellite
era.”

Need to add, “In the eastern Pacific basin”, … and also, Notice the year??

In the Atlantic the 24 hour intensification champs are well known Category 5’s.

97mb in Hurricane Wilma from 1200 18 October 2005 to 1200 UTC 19 October 2005.

72mb in Hurricane Gilbert, September 1988.

—————————————————————————————————————

The 12:30AM Special Advisory makes quick 24 hour calculations much more difficult. This is a Historical event, further statements will be forthcoming from the Hurricane Center. It appears records have been set for intensity, and speed of intensification, and not only for the Eastern Pacific. The 10p to 10p numbers already challenge Wilma and Gilbert. The newest values may exceed some of their records.

—————————————————————————————————————-

So, true blue serious historical stuff at least for the Mexican coast not far from Puerto Vallarta and the states surrounding the state of Jalisco. Serious life threatening, environment changing, catastrophic destruction is associated with storms of this size and strength.

One last thought, this may all seem very far away, but many of us spend several summer nights adoring parts of this beautiful Mexican coastline. Anyone see Bachelor in Paradise? That resort was a day trip from Puerto Vallarta. Puerto Vallarta is in the cone for this storm.

Learn more in my latest e-book El Niño: The WILD side of the weather cycle…
What we know, what we don’t, and WHY you should care!

Available at Amazon

Wild Bill

A look back at the Atlantic’s Joaquin

October 22, 2015UncategorizedAtlantic's Joaquin, September 27 thru October 04admin

October 22, 2015

As we watch Hurricane Olaf and now Hurricane Patricia in the Pacific, I want to take a look back at the Atlantic’s Joaquin.

Joaquin was not your typical Atlantic hurricane. The storm developed out of an upper level low that wandered westward from the Central Atlantic. It slowly backed into the Bahamas before being booted out the big upper low that eventually helped drown South Carolina.

Below are eight sets of two satellite pictures, one set a day, from September 27 thru October 04. Standard infrared left, water vapor right.

September 27

September 28

September 29

September 30

October 01

October 02

October 03

October 04

By the end of this picture sequence a healthy portion of South Carolina was displaced by 20 to 25 inches of rain.

Olaf and now Patricia are currently hurricanes in the Pacific. Both of these tropical systems may have some influence on the U.S.

The above example shows how a direct hit is not necessary to inflict great damage.

Learn more in my latest e-book El Niño: The WILD side of the weather cycle…
What we know, what we don’t, and WHY you should care!

Available at Amazon

Wild Bill

The Pacific tropical weather season is breaking records.

October 21, 2015UncategorizedPacific Ocean, record hurricanes, strong hurricaneadmin

October 21, 2015

The Pacific tropical weather season is breaking records.

Phil Klotzbach is a Colorado State University tropical weather researcher and specialist who has filled the void since the well known Dr. Gray retired. In recent days he has made some amazing statements about the tropical weather season in the Pacific.

A couple of his observations are quite impressive in terms of our current El Niño discussion.

A record 14 named storms have occurred so far this season in the Central Pacific. The previous record for total number of storms was 10 from 1982.

A record 8 named storms have formed within the Central Pacific basin. The previous record was 4 from 1982.

The current state of the Pacific Ocean is breaking records set during one of the other great El Niño years, 1982, which is discussed at some length in my latest e-book El Niño: The WILD side of the weather cycle…

——————————————————————————————————————-

200 PM PDT MON OCT 19, 2015

…OLAF RAPIDLY STRENGTHENS TO A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE…
…EXPECTED TO CROSS INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC BASIN TONIGHT…

———————————————————————————————————————–

With this advisory Olaf became the 21st Category 4 or 5 hurricane in the Northern Hemisphere this tropical season, 2015, or like since May, … also a new record. So despite just two major hurricanes in the Atlantic this season and only one Category 4, the rest of the Northern Hemisphere, mainly the Pacific, is having a record year. Hurricane Olaf is adding to that record.

A visible shot of Olaf at 145mph, near 143W, and only 11N, still some 1000 miles from Hawaii.

A quick visit with the spaghetti plots to illustrate the current model trend. Once again this season, not a forecast track you are going to see all that often associated with a Category 4 hurricane.

Monday 19th 18z run at 210 hours reaches Wednesday Oct.28, 2015 12z

Tuesday 20th 12z run at 192 hours reaches Wednesday Oct.28, 2015 12z

The area of low pressure off the California Coast on both runs can be traced back to Olaf. It is only two runs out of many, most solutions do not bring Olaf to California. But this passed week we saw from this blog that this model does show some skill even out as far as a week.

So a record tropical weather season in the Pacific has given us something else to watch.

Learn more in my latest e-book El Niño: The WILD side of the weather cycle…
What we know, what we don’t, and WHY you should care!

Available at Amazon

Wild Bill

Maintaining a +2.4, Our event remains robust

October 20, 2015Uncategorizedadmin

October 20, 2015

The newest weekly sea surface temperatures have been posted with no big surprises. Maintaining a +2.4 for another week means our event remains robust. Trailing 1997’s record pace by one tenth of a degree is almost as trivial as it sounds. The last seven weeks are just about a carbon copy of 1997’s record level.

02SEP2015      28.9   +2.1                             03SEP1997     28.9   +2.1
09SEP2015      29.0 +2.3                             10SEP1997     28.9   +2.2
16SEP2015      29.0 +2.3                             17SEP1997     28.9 + 2.2
23SEP2015      29.0   +2.3                             24SEP1997     28.9   +2.2
30SEP2015      29.1 +2.4                             01OCT1997     29.1 +2.4

07OCT2015 29.1 +2.4 08OCT1997 29.2 +2.6
14OCT2015 29.1 +2.4 15OCT1997 29.2 +2.5

Strong hurricanes usually don’t hang out near 140-150W latitude, the tropical Pacific Ocean southeast of Hawaii. Olaf is now a Category 4 with 140mph winds currently headed west in the general direction of Hawaii. The storm’s existence as well as its location is natures sign or testimony that the El Niño warming of Eastern Pacific is in deed in progress.

The broader picture shows Olaf in reference to Hawaii and the Eastern Pacific.

Tuesday October20, 2015 03z

The Nino 3.4 Region runs 120-160W, 5 degrees north and south of the Equator, or just south of where our hurricane is tracking. So the storm has intensified very near the warm region of interest. But in doing so, the circulation of the storm stirs up the ocean surface and actual works to lower the sea surface temperature through vigorous mixing.

So, our current weekly sea surface temperature might be a little higher if it were not for this developing hurricane right in the Nino3.4 neighborhood.

Covered the forecast for Monday October 19, 2015 12z in a couple of blogs. Here are the actual satellite and model surface maps from Monday morning, and one of the forecast maps from 7 or 8 days ago.

Monday October 19, 2015 12z

GFS 06z run 006 hour forecast for Monday October 19, 2015 12z

GFS 00z run 204 hour forecast for Monday October 19, 2015 12z

OK, a little surprised, did not see the two panels side by side until this blog. Usually there a few more differences with such comparisons, especially a forecast for a week away. I may have to revisit such analysis in the near future. The idea is to have some forewarning before yet another interstate highway becomes impassable.

Learn more in my latest e-book El Niño: The WILD side of the weather cycle…
What we know, what we don’t, and WHY you should care!

Available at Amazon

Wild Bill

California rain: The Good, The Bad, and it can be Ugly.

October 19, 2015UncategorizedInterstate 5, Yosemite Fallsadmin

October 18, 2015

California rain: The Good, The Bad, and it can be Ugly.

The Good.Just an inch and a half of rain at 8000 feet and Yosemite falls comes back to life.

The Bad.State Route 58 west of Mojave, California. The rain and hail occurred Thursday afternoon. This picture is from midday Friday. (KABC via AP)

It can be UglyInterstate 5 near Tejon Pass after the Thursday afternoon downpour. (CNN)

Route 58 is the red line, on the map below, running due east from Bakersfield. Interstate 5 runs south from the “S” in Bakersfield into Los Angeles.

Doppler Radar rainfall estimate for the Thursday October 15, 2015 thunderstorms. The deep red is two and a half inches, the maroon color is closer to three. The white dot near the “P” in Palmdale would indicate amounts greater than five inches. The presences of golf ball size hail in these storms could mean these estimates are higher than actually rainfall.

So, an inch of rain and Yosemite falls is back in business. Two to three inches of rain and the main roads are a disastrous muddy mire.

New weekly update of ocean water temperature anomalies coming later today.

16SEP2015      29.0   2.3                           17SEP1997     28.9   2.2
23SEP2015      29.0   2.3                           24SEP1997     28.9   2.2
30SEP2015      29.1   2.4                           01OCT1997    29.1   2.4

07OCT2015 29.1 2.4 08OCT1997 29.2 2.6

14OCT2015 later today 15OCT1997 29.2 2.5

Learn more in my latest e-book El Niño: The WILD side of the weather cycle…
What we know, what we don’t, and WHY you should care!

Available at Amazon

Wild Bill

Wild Bill’s Blog

………………………All Weather…All the Time!

A little snow in the Sierra, +2.7 most impressive

Three historic 20 inch flood events in the last 5 weekends

Same Texas rivers, same Texas towns, inches of rain

El Niño continues to grow stronger

Patricia… Highest wind, Most rapid intensification

Hurricane Patricia tropical storm to Category 5 in 24 hours.

A look back at the Atlantic’s Joaquin

The Pacific tropical weather season is breaking records.

Maintaining a +2.4, Our event remains robust

California rain: The Good, The Bad, and it can be Ugly.